Catastrophic AI Risk Timeline
Adjust the factors below to see how different interventions affect humanity's resilience against dangerous AI over the next 30 years.
Through strategic research, development, and advocacy
Adjust the factors below to see how different interventions affect humanity's resilience against dangerous AI over the next 30 years.
Mean Catastrophic Risk Distribution
Using stochastic modeling and a Monte Carlo simulator, we can better visualize the catastrphic AI risk distribution. The lighter band captures the 5th–95th percentile outer range, while the darker band shows the tighter 25th–75th percentile core trajectory.
5-Year Cat Risk
--%
Projected for year 2030
30-Year Cat Risk
--%
Projected for year 2055
Understanding the fundamental risks we face
Rapid advancement combined with universal adoption creates a critical inflection point. Like nuclear technology, AI's transformative power brings both promise and peril.
Cyber warfare, economic collapse, and superintelligence represent existential threats. We must assess and mitigate these risks before they materialize.
Political influence and regulatory capture threaten independent oversight. We must ensure that safety considerations aren't compromised by commercial interests.
AI Watchdog is a 501(c)3 non-profit dedicated to preventing AI threats through independent research, policy development, and strategic advocacy. We provide the missing watchdog function that industry and government have failed to establish.
Independent analysis and public education on AI risks and policy solutions.
Develop comprehensive tools and protocols to monitor AI development and safety.
Continuous monitoring and assessment of AI development progress and emerging threats.
Comprehensive monitoring and assessment of AI development risks and safety compliance.
Development of detection tools and defensive countermeasures against dangerous AI systems.
Policy research and strategic advocacy to shape effective AI governance frameworks.
Together, we can shape policies and practices that prevent AI-induced catastrophes.